Monday, June 18, 2007

Nothing Changes: Why We Still Like Rudy

Two timely articles reinforce the SWNIDish position on the 2008 presidential election. For those with short memories, that position is that Rudy Giuliani is the man for whom to vote and Hillary Clinton is the woman against whom to vote.

Why we support Rudy is well documented yet again in an article in the Hartford Courant: Rudy has demonstrated the aggressive leadership necessary to sustain the war against Islamofascism. Other issues are secondary to this one: if the terrorists bomb the Supreme Court, it won't matter how the justices rule on Roe v. Wade.

What the rest of America thinks of Hillary is well documented in a second article from the LA Times (here linked to a syndicated appearance in the NY Sun): despite the significant lead in polls of the generic "Democratic Presidential Candidate" over the generic "Republican Presidential Candidate," Hillary loses in head-to-head matchups. The significant points here are (a) America is rightly alarmed about a Hillary presidency; (b) nevertheless, she is the likely nominee and will bring lots of money and political expertise (others', not necessarily her own) to the general election); (c) she can therefore plausibly be projected as the likely next POTUS; (d) those alarmed by this prospect will want the strongest opponent to Hillary as the Republican nominee; (e) while McCain and Romney edge Hillary in recent polls, Rudy clobbers her; (f) Rudy also puts the electoral votes of New York in play, and if he takes NY, he effectively denies the Democrats any plausible means of attaining an electoral college majority.

In sum, a vote for anyone other than Rudy comes dangerously close to a vote for Hillary. The mind spins at the prospect.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Since practicality is so vitally important in winning at politics, we must consider the practical problem that Fred has pulled even with Rudy in the poll released today by Rasmussen.

Jon A. Alfred E. Michael J. Wile E. SWNID said...

Yep. Wise and timely comment, so we comment back, breaking a rule again.

It will be interesting to see where this goes. Rudy and Fred both have something to prove on the national stage: that they can manage disciplined, focused campaigns that suggest the ability to run a disciplined, focused administration.

Fred looks like he might not really want to be president, that he could be just as content with his little acting gigs and playing with his grandchildren. Rudy looks like he might not want to discipline himself to the degree necessary to get there, that he can't surrender the tough/decisive persona long enough to explain his policy positions coherently.

So we'll see how this plays. For us, Rudy's ability to steal a blue state plus his executive experience in a crisis makes him the Man of the Hour. But we reserve the right to change our Seldom Wrong mind.