Expect a really late night on Tuesday, or go to bed early and get up extremely early on Wednesday. It's going to be very close, and it may just surprise the MSM, minus Michael Barone.
Pew Research is reporting a significant gain for Republicans in the generic congressional poll, and a concomitant dive for Ds. October 17-22 the Rs pulled 39% among likelies. This weekend, they poll 43%. By contrast, Ds have dropped from 50% to 47% in the same period.
Worse still, the Ds do worse among likelies than among registereds, while the Rs do better. This pattern holds true in polls most years, but Ds have been counting on their voters being mad enough at Bush to come out in bigger numbers to vote for low-name-recognition challengers against Republican congressional incumbents. Looks like their engine is running out of steam.
Let's remember the pledge of James Carville that the Democrats will need to rethink the whole idea of their party if they lose in 2006. And let's see if that's yet another political promise that goes unfulfilled.
3 comments:
There's a good reason why the R party isn't going to do well in Ohio this year. Sorry, I meant to say there are 10 reasons. http://journals.democraticunderground.com/top10/267
But most of all, to quote James Carville since you did, "It's the economy, stupid" in the case of Ohio. If you read tradesports or Iowa Electronic Markets, your trades would be last minute efforts in a bear market.
I fail to see how raising taxes and increasing minimum wage could possibly help Ohio's economy.
And to quote what I imagine my favorite gubernatorial candidate would say, "No, it's economics, stupid!"
But then again, those who have received doctoral degrees in economics are in the habit of saying such things. But who am I to think that the head of Case Western's economics department is a more authoritative voice on economical issues than Benny06 and his Young Democrats website. Sheesh, what was I thinking?
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